Key Bitcoin price metric flashes its first bullish signal in 4 months

Ethereum price is clearly in a strong bull trend, but derivatives data signals that pro traders are shifting their bullish bias back toward Bitcoin.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been struggling to sustain above the $53,000 support for the past three days, while Ether (ETH) soared to a new all-time high at $2,800. In the current scenario, some traders would rather wait for Friday’s CME futures expiry before entering long BTC positions, as historically, its price tends to correct ahead of the event.Ether and Bitcoin prices at Coinbase, USD. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, Ether’s price has been positively impacted by the European Investment Bank launching a “digital bond” sale using the Ethereum network. The EIB is issuing a two-year 100-million-euro ($120.8 million) digital bond, with the deal to be led by Goldman Sachs, Santander, and Societe Generale.

Furthermore, in the past week, JP Morgan published a research note stating that Ether should continue to outperform Bitcoin due to liquidity improvements and increased activity on the network.

According to fixed-income analyst Joshua Younger:

“Bitcoin is more of a crypto commodity than currency and competes with gold as a store of value, whereas Ether is the backbone of the crypto-native economy and therefore functions more as a medium of exchange. To the extent owning a share of this potential activity is more valuable.”

When analyzing the ratio between users’ net long-to-short ratio at OKEx, surprising data emerges. The indicator is calculated using clients’ consolidated positions, including perpetual and futures contracts. The proportion of Ether longs versus the shorts reached the lowest level in 2021, becoming significantly lower than Bitcoin’s.OKEx futures long-to-short ratio. Source: OKEx

Ether longs vastly dominated throughout 2021, peaking at 130% larger than shorts, while Bitcoin traders have been usually more modest. However, the April 29 market trend reversal comes as the ratio for BTC longs stands 45% higher than shorts.

Meanwhile, Ether traders are only 6% net long, signaling a lack of confidence in the recent rally.

One should not interpret the stance of OKEx traders’ positioning in Ether as bearish, considering that the long-to-short ratio is relatively flat. However, April’s monthly trend leaves no doubt that Bitcoin traders are becoming more optimistic.

Traders should not dismiss Friday’s BTC and Ether options expiry. The $3.9 billion Bitcoin expiry presents a danger to bulls if the price happens to move below $50,000, considering the neutral-to-bearish put options would then have a $700 million advantage.

Currently, bulls dominate Ether’s more modest $930 million options expiry, and the $115 million difference in call options open interest seems guaranteed even if Ether’s price drops to $2,600.

However, both cryptocurrencies could experience volatility after Friday’s 8:00 AM UTC options expiry and the following CME futures and options expiry at 3:00 PM UTC.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
http://dlvr.it/Rykk5B

You might be interested in …

What will happen to Bitcoin price as Coinbase goes public?

Uncategorized

The highly anticipated public listing of Coinbase stock is leading Bitcoin and Ether to rally, but what will happen afterward? Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) have continually surged toward record highs, causing the futures market of Bitcoin to see a substantial increase in volume and open interest. The term “open interest” refers to the total […]

Read More

BTC price eyes 30% correction: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week

Uncategorized

A strengthening dollar combines with profit-taking by miners to create a “short-term bearish” environment for Bitcoin. Bitcoin (BTC) heads into a new week after another weekend of major volatility — but this time, the way was down, not up.  As the market loses $7,000 — the most since the “vertical” price rises began — Cointelegraph […]

Read More

Novogratz hopes Biden admin reverses Trump’s anti-crypto stance

Uncategorized

Galaxy Digital CEO calls Trump’s crypto policies “anti-dollar” and “anti-innovation.” The United States is in desperate need of open-minded cryptocurrency regulations from the incoming Biden administration, according to Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz.  Appearing in a Thursday segment of CNBC’s Sqwuak Box, Novogratz said the Bitcoin (BTC) bull market has proven resilient to the recent […]

Read More

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

css.php